Pulling back in 05 was a conscious decision, maybe they should have done more. WB, CFC, WM, LEH, BSC, AHM kept churning out option ARMs in 06-07, and those securitized deals are disasters.Relative to... login to read the rest
My base case is for $1,000mm in defaults on the $4.5b resi portfolio, at 40% severity that is $400mm in cum losses. They have $250mm in loan loss reserves and are earning a pretax,... login to read the rest
For what it's worth, BKUNA actually did not pull back at all during 2006 (though they were strong in Florida as opposed to California...)
My question is this: how much would Fed rate hikes affect Fed?
i think you give mgmt way too much credit."they pulled back substantially in late 2005" - this wasnt a conscious decision, the entire market for option ARM's pulled back severely. DSL was no different."they... login to read the rest
Can you give me a dollar amount of your NPAs and cumulative losses. If defaults go to 25%, I believe these guys will definitely go to zero.Any thoughts on the Jana stake?As I understand it,... login to read the rest
I haven't seen a disclosure of exceptions, quite low I would guess since they were selling loans to Wall St as well as keeping for portfolio. I think FED will be better than the... login to read the rest
FED has extensive disclosue on LTVs assuming full neg am at reset. Making assumptions on HPA and expenses associated with foreclosing on a property, 40% is my blended severity over two years. They... login to read the rest
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